Volume 38, Issue 2
The PAT Model of Population Dynamics

Z. C. Feng & Y. Charles Li

Ann. Appl. Math., 38 (2022), pp. 223-239.

Published online: 2022-04

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  • Abstract

We introduce a population-age-time (PAT) model which describes the temporal evolution of the population distribution in age. The surprising result is that the qualitative nature of the population distribution dynamics is robust with respect to the birth rate and death rate distributions in age, and initial conditions. When the number of children born per woman is 2, the population distribution approaches an asymptotically steady state of a kink shape; thus the total population approaches a constant. When the number of children born per woman is greater than 2, the total population increases without bound; and when the number of children born per woman is less than 2, the total population decreases to zero.

  • AMS Subject Headings

92D25, 92-10, 39A60

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COPYRIGHT: © Global Science Press

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@Article{AAM-38-223, author = {Feng , Z. C. and Li , Y. Charles}, title = {The PAT Model of Population Dynamics}, journal = {Annals of Applied Mathematics}, year = {2022}, volume = {38}, number = {2}, pages = {223--239}, abstract = {

We introduce a population-age-time (PAT) model which describes the temporal evolution of the population distribution in age. The surprising result is that the qualitative nature of the population distribution dynamics is robust with respect to the birth rate and death rate distributions in age, and initial conditions. When the number of children born per woman is 2, the population distribution approaches an asymptotically steady state of a kink shape; thus the total population approaches a constant. When the number of children born per woman is greater than 2, the total population increases without bound; and when the number of children born per woman is less than 2, the total population decreases to zero.

}, issn = {}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.4208/aam.OA-2022-0003}, url = {http://global-sci.org/intro/article_detail/aam/20455.html} }
TY - JOUR T1 - The PAT Model of Population Dynamics AU - Feng , Z. C. AU - Li , Y. Charles JO - Annals of Applied Mathematics VL - 2 SP - 223 EP - 239 PY - 2022 DA - 2022/04 SN - 38 DO - http://doi.org/10.4208/aam.OA-2022-0003 UR - https://global-sci.org/intro/article_detail/aam/20455.html KW - Population dynamics, birth, mortality, carrying capacity, population-age-time model. AB -

We introduce a population-age-time (PAT) model which describes the temporal evolution of the population distribution in age. The surprising result is that the qualitative nature of the population distribution dynamics is robust with respect to the birth rate and death rate distributions in age, and initial conditions. When the number of children born per woman is 2, the population distribution approaches an asymptotically steady state of a kink shape; thus the total population approaches a constant. When the number of children born per woman is greater than 2, the total population increases without bound; and when the number of children born per woman is less than 2, the total population decreases to zero.

Feng , Z. C. and Li , Y. Charles. (2022). The PAT Model of Population Dynamics. Annals of Applied Mathematics. 38 (2). 223-239. doi:10.4208/aam.OA-2022-0003
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